Warriors are becoming a team that makes people unable to see clearly. When you check the pulse for this team, you will find that it is hard to say where the real strength of Warriors is, what is their real problem.
If we talk about The allocation of The lineup, six warriors have entered The list of 100 players recently updated by The Ringer in The US media, and The league is The only one. Divenzenzuo is a high-quality new aid. Anthony Lamb is a Taobao masterpiece, and the new star kumingjia has made remarkable progress. However, the problem is that the Warriors did not perform as expected at all. What they showed was the state of ineffective attack and unstable defense.
Warriors have various reasons to explain why they only won 26 wins in the first 52 games and ranked 9th in the West. For example, too many young people were used to rotate in chaos at the beginning of the season, and the young people led by Jordan Poole did not meet expectations. For example, we need to help Clay Thompson find the status at the beginning of the season. For example, Stephen Curry and Andrew Wikins all experienced injuries.
Raymond Green and Curry said several times that they were still optimistic about the future of Warriors based on various objective factors before. But perhaps, the prospect of Warriors is far less optimistic than they imagined.
We are used to defining a warrior era with 8 years and 4 crowns, but in fact, it is more accurate to divide it into 3 years, 2 years, 1 crown and 3 years, 1 crown. During the 3-year and 2-year championship, the Warriors were all at the top level. During the 2-year 1 Championship, the Warriors’s regular season defense dropped to 10 out. There were paddling elements in it, and they could still tighten the defense line in the playoffs. During the 3-year championship, the Warriors broke down for one season. The 2020-21 season almost returned to the playoffs with good defense, while the 2021-22 season returned to the throne with the second defense of the league.
During the 3-year 1-championship period, the attack of the Warriors has actually been declining. It is just an excuse for the decline of the attack efficiency of the Warriors in terms of factors such as misplacement, injury, and wrong recruitment. In addition, the Warriors won the championship last season, so this question is not brought up. Last season, the warrior’s 100-round score was only 0.5 points higher than the league average, far less than every season before 2019.
This season, even when Curry and Wikins are healthy and the Warriors are relatively neat, their offensive efficiency is not ideal. This season, the warrior’s 100-round score has increased to 114 points, but the overall offensive efficiency of the league is greatly improved, and the warrior’s 100-round score is 0.5 points lower than the league average.
Not long ago, an alliance executive said in an interview that the warrior’s attack style was gradually outdated, which attracted a lot of ridicule. But in fact, these words are not unreasonable. With the progress of the times, the projection ability of each team has been caught up. Teams such as Celtics often take five positions and everyone can vote. The projection ability of the Warriors used to lead the way in broken gears, but now the advantage is not obvious. In addition, they made many mistakes and were not aggressive enough to hit the basket frequently, and they did not get free throws, these ancestral faults are still there, and their offensive efficiency is naturally squeezed into the middle and lower reaches.
This is the truth of sailing against the current. If you don’t advance, you will retreat.
Like Kings and nuggets, although they don’t have curry, they have green who attacked a significantly upgraded version, and there are enough outside shooters. They are all spreading. This season, the Nuggets attack efficiency league is the first, followed by the King. Like Celts, the playing method is more simple and crude. If you need extreme attack, you can withdraw Lowe and play five places. The space is completely opened, and their offensive efficiency Alliance is the third place.
The strong teams overtook the Warriors in their own ways, and what about the Warriors? The 16th in the offensive efficiency league this season.
Recently, Cole has been crazy to complain because he sacrificed five small lineups to play the first. However, from his several interviews, he has realized the problem of the team’s attack, several interviews by Cole emphasized the creation of space, better shot opportunities and more forbidden zone attacks. Wikins was also a stimulating factor for Cole to play five small games. He felt very poor after returning from the groin injury and illness. When he was present with green and Luni, the space was severely compressed.
Don’t Cole know how to play five small heights to reduce the poor defense? Obviously not, he just has the right to take it lightly.
It is also the problem of the overall pattern of the alliance. This era doomed the defensive side to be the weak side. This season, the knight with the first defensive efficiency lost 109.7 points in one hundred rounds. The Celtics were in this position last season. They lost only 106.2 points in one hundred rounds, and the Warriors ranked second with 106.6 points. Last season, the team with the 15th defensive efficiency lost 4.7 points more than the team with the 1st defensive efficiency in 100 rounds, while this season’s figure was 3.7 points.
This shows that in a season when the overall defensive strength declines, the gap between the middle-game teams with the best defensive efficiency and the teams with the best defensive efficiency narrows, if the middle game teams can play several consecutive high-level defensive performances, their ranking is expected to be directly promoted to the top 10.
One more data: Since the warrior defeated the grizzly bear NBA Christmas wars, the warrior lost 111.4 points in one hundred rounds. By the standards of Warriors last season, this is obviously extremely bad. But in the same period, the Warriors lost points in 100 rounds, which turned out to be the fourth lowest in the league. This is true on the premise that the ability to apply to the ball, the rebound protection ability after more small balls have declined and the internal line reserve is insufficient.
The Warrior’s defense is not good in senses, but everyone’s defense has declined seriously. Even the heat that lost the least points in 100 rounds in the same period has lost 0.9 points less than the warrior. This background gave Cole the confidence to temporarily relax the defense and pursue the attack. He believed that once the rotation was shortened and the defense was pursued, the Warriors were still the strong defensive team. In his view, the main goal is to raise the attack first at this stage.
Because, from NBA Christmas wars last year to now, the Warriors Defense League is the fourth, but the offensive efficiency is only the 20th in the same period. Even after Curry’s comeback, the warrior’s attack was only ranked 16th.
When the Warriors can’t attack the top ten levels in the season when the overall defensive strength declines, it is not to blame Cole for giving up the defensive pursuit in stages.
The problem of the attacking side of the warrior is caused by many reasons, not by one person.
Curry’s overall performance this season is still high-yield and efficient, but some inexplicable mistakes made him speechless after the game.
This is a team that pays great attention to the system, chemical reaction and basketball IQ. Compared with last season, the main rotation of Warriors this season has more lamb, cuminga and divenzenzo. Three people were changed in the 9-person round. Lamm, whose two-way contract has not yet turned positive, should pay attention to games played (only 50 games can be activated), injuries, factors such as rotation break make warriors forced to adjust the rotation of the lineup in many cases, and mistakes are easy to increase. The decline in executive power mentioned by Cole is largely due to this reason.
After the renewal of Poole’s contract, the three-point projection of the target star plummeted, and the breakthrough and passing errors increased significantly. His hard shots were caught and counterattacked, and the live ball errors brought great harm to the Warriors. As for the phenomenon of distracted defense, don’t mention it.
Wikins collapsed after returning from injury, but there is still room for recovery. The end efficiency of Thompson’s basket and the decline of mid-range prospective stars are more worrying. He has become a one-dimensional player on the offensive end, relying on the three-point feel.
Luoni, DiVincenzo and cuminga did their job conscientiously, but because of their roles and abilities, they did not have the ability to improve the attack limit of warriors.
If you compare the four elements of attack (effective hit rate, offensive rebound rate, penalty rate and error rate), you will find that Warriors have not changed much since 2014, and they have never pursued offensive rebounds, they can’t make too many free throws, and mistakes are mostly their difficulties, but they can make top-level offensive efficiency by using a single projection during the peak period.
When other teams continue to project progress and narrow the gap with warriors, and Warriors still stay at the past level in the aspects of attacking the basket and controlling mistakes, this is naturally the result now.
Perhaps it is time for Warriors to change.